Sunday, July 1, 2012

Economics

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20120701/lead/lead4.html


fearful of shutdown
But another tobacco farmer, Carmen Stewart, is fearful that there could be a shutdown of the sector if certain stakeholders have their way.
"My livelihood could be threatened because I hear on the news where they want to put in some strict rules on the tobacco industry," she explained.
"It is not just about the big companies but there are farmers, like myself, who make a living from tobacco."

It's people like these that the anti-smoking industry doesn't take into account.
People loose their jobs and then what?
The tax increases being proposed in HB 5727 are so unconscionable to say the least as to be practically punitive for small local manufacturers such as ourselves. We are left to wonder: What have we done to deserve this kind of treatment?” said Blake Dy, vice president of the local cigarette manufacturer Associated Anglo-American Tobacco (AAAT), the largest producer of low-priced cigarette brands in the country.
According to Dy, their company has been in the Philippines for nearly 70 years, employing Filipino workers, using locally grown tobacco and staying on despite the tumultuous political climate, rampant criminality, and rising costs in labor, fuel and power.
“Since my father assumed control, our family has poured four decades of our blood and sweat into our company only to have it casually wiped away by a piece of legislation. We thought the Philippines was for the Filipinos,” Dy said.
He said it is ironic that the proposed law’s touted aim was to generate more revenues for the government and to level the playing field that would allow entry of foreign firms.
“But why is it that we, the small player, the Filipino-owned and -operated company, are going to be the ones hurt the most? Under this bill, the foreign firms would only be levied a miniscule tax increase, if any at all. Small firms like us that cater to the value cigarette market are being threatened with a 500-percent to 1,000-percent tax increase over the next two to three years. How is this in any way fair or just when the tax alone is twice the current selling price of our products?” he said.

Again and again in these stories it always pops up.
The unintended or perhaps intended consequences are driving people out of work.
With the economy such as it is punitive taxation makes little sense.


But the issue is even bigger and it doesn't always involve the WHO and their regulations.

Tobacco House in Spring Hill has 5 employees who will face unemployment if the business is forced to close its doors.
One Tobacco House employee said on Friday, "I don't know what I'm going to do if this place closes and I don't even know for sure if it will."
There is a chance Tobacco House will continue to operate in some way at their Cortez Boulevard store, at least for the year-long balance of their current lease.
However, the loss of jobs from the new Republican-sponsored legislation travels further than Florida.
Rolling machine maker, Phil Accordino and his employees also face problems with the new law. He told the Washington Post, “demand for his machines would dry up and he’d be forced out of business. Gone would be his new factory, which employs 35 workers in a corner of Ohio hit hard by steel mill closures.”

Sometimes big tobacco has their hands firmly embedded in the pocket of the politicians.
The issues are bigger than I am,bigger than any of us.
I do know this tobacco is a cash crop and people who use it pay for everything.
People who work in  pubs,bars and entertainment are losing their jobs,the places they own ,their homes  and years of time and hard work that they have invested in it.
In fact I have often wondered why no one will allow this it might not be a perfect solution but it would be something,maybe something to build on.

Thursday, June 28, 2012

Tobacco And The Economy (Tid Bits)


http://www.novinite.com/view_news.php?id=140747

The tobacco growers demand from the President to impose a veto on the amendments, along with keeping jobs in the sector, and protecting investments in the country's business.


http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2012/06/28/letter-who-tobacco-and-farmers.html

Accepting the WHO’s recommendation to say no to tobacco seems too early without considering the implications for tobacco farmers. It will crash their economy and increase the percentage of people living in poverty, which has decreased in 2012 in Indonesia. 

Soedaryono, the general chairman of AMTI (Indonesian Tobacco Society Alliance), was quoted by Rimanews on May 28 as saying, “We urge the government to listen to our voice as the tobacco farmers and part of Indonesian society rather than receive an agriculture policy that is incomprehensible. This is an external force that does not understand the real situation.” 






The industry was formalised eight years ago after the government initiated Operation Murambatsvina.

Albert Munemo, a kitchen unit-maker, said the influx of farmers bringing the crop to auction floors had resulted in an upsurge in business.

He, however, said since the decline in tobacco deliveries, business was slowing down.

“Business is very slow now. Maybe people have no money, but we benefited from tobacco farmers. Now they are gone,” Munemo said.


The head of House of Representatives Commission IX, which oversees health matters, on Thursday criticized some nongovernmental organizations for receiving funding from the Bloomberg Initiative, a global tobacco control effort.

“For example, ICW [Indonesian Corruption Watch], which is concerned about eradicating corruption, is instead receiving foreign donations,” Ribka Tjiptaning said. “They are prostituting their own nation. We know how they get money.”

She said that ICW had received $45,470 in July 2010 to bolster an anti-tobacco campaign mainly aimed at reshaping tobacco regulation in Indonesia.

Ribka said the funding was also meant to support the government’s plan to issue a tobacco control bill amid criticism that the regulation threatened some 15 million Indonesian tobacco farmers whose lives depended on the tobacco industry.

Senator John Crown has said the manufacturing and sale of tobacco products should be banned by 2025.

http://www.rte.ie/news/2012/0627/senator-calls-for-ban-on-tobacco-products-by-2025.html

The senator, who is also a consultant oncologist, said the measures should be adopted at a European level.
He said placing a ban on the manufacturing and sale of cigarettes  should be a long-term goal. 

Senator Crown said  "It will give the companies time to re-tool the machines to make something else.

"This is a time when the world is short of food. Imagine all that agricultural land being used to produce cancer causing tobacco instead of being used to grow food




Imagine the lack of tax revenue Imagine the lack of jobs. 


I always wondered how many people were employed by the large tobacco manufacturers or how many people grew tobacco.


None of these things seem to matter to these people 


Their lack of vision is astounding and their prejudice blinds them to the truth that anyone can plainly see.


Just from an economic standpoint calling for this is shortsighted,foolish and painfully stupid.












Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Businesses Face Choice In Smoking Ban

Businesses Face Choice In Smoking Ban




Duffy’s Pub & Grub, 717 S. Huntington St., Syracuse, will remain a smoking establishment. A sign on the door reads, “Notice to all customers: Effective July 1, 2012, we will no longer have a family room. You must be 21 years or older to enter our facility.”
Owner Greg Greed said the decision was a financial one, and an easy one at that. “Economically, adults that smoke bring in more money to my facility,” he said. “Banning it would hurt my business.”
The four or five patrons sitting at the bar Tuesday afternoon were all smoking cigarettes, agreeing with what Greed said about the ban.
He also said he believes it should be the owner’s decision on whether smoking should be allowed in a restaurant. “I already have enough government in my life,” Greed said, laughing.

Why isn't every business owner and taxpayer allowed this choice?
Wouldn't this just make sense in these tough economic times?

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Parallels

http://www.forbes.com/sites/warrenmeyer/2012/06/18/a-response-to-popular-ad-hominem-err-science-magazine-on-global-warming-skeptics/


I thought I knew what “science” was about:  the crafting of hypotheses that could be tested and refined through observation via studies that were challenged and replicated by the broader community until the hypothesis is generally accepted or rejected by the broader community.
But apparently “popular science” works differently, if the July 2012 article by Tom Clynes in the periodical of that name is any guide [I will link the article when it is online].  In an article called “the Battle,” Clynes serves up an amazing skewering of skeptics that the most extreme environmental group might have blushed at publishing.  After reading this article, it seems that “popular science” consists mainly of initiating a sufficient number of ad hominem attacks against those with whom one disagrees such that one is no longer required to even answer their scientific criticisms.
The article is a sort of hall-of-fame of every ad hominem attack made on skeptics – tobacco lawyers, Holocaust Deniers, the Flat Earth Society, oil company funding, and the Koch Brothers all make an appearance.

Sounds familiar
The "science " is settled right?
No one can even question it.


This time it was not smoking, but his work on fine particulate air pollution (called PM), especially from diesel engines.  He not only published research that did not conform to the political preferences of his UCLA School of Public Health (SPH) colleagues and their political allies, but pointed out several bits of fraud being committed (by basically the same cabal) in the policy arena. 

I cannot vouch for the accuracy of his PM research, though it sounds credible based on what I know of the subject, which is limited but not nothing.  I do not know whether his results might have been outliers in the current research, though obviously they are what they are.  His second-hand smoke research certainly was good work -- I can vouch for that, and for the fact that it was more similar to the bulk of the evidence than the politicized conventional wisdom is.  Enstrom is a much better scientist, and has ten times the integrity, compared to most people in public health, so I am certainly inclined to believe him about PM.

I hope Enstrom doesn't settle,it would be excellent to see this sort of stuff go before an impartial judge.
But I will say this,I know for a fact that when you deny or ask questions abut these subjects,let's just say pollution and smoking people treat you like you're crazy.
I might not be a great scientist or writer but I do know what I can read and what my life experiences are and they simply don't add up with what I'm being told.

Monday, June 18, 2012

Dutch ignore smoking ban in bars and clubs

http://www.expatica.com/nl/news/dutch-news/dutch-ignore-smoking-ban-in-bars-and-clubs_234734.html

The smoking ban in Dutch bars and clubs is being widely ignored, according to the authority responsible for enforcing it. Almost half the cafés in the Netherlands turn a blind eye to smoking customers.



The figures come in a report by the Netherlands Food and Consumer Product Safety Authority NVWA based on inspections between December 2011 and May 2012. They authority says customers are still smoking in 49 percent of bars – around the same proportion as in 2011.


I guess you can say anything is banned but that doesn't mean people have to respect it.

Sunday, June 17, 2012

Bits and Pieces

The case of the missing data (Old but still worth a glance)

So, heart disease remains an enigma though the striking rise and fall over the past 50 years is strongly suggestive of a biological cause. No doubt those who smoke or take insufficient exercise or whose cholesterol concentrations are greatly raised may be at "increased risk," but none can be determinant (in the way the putative biological cause clearly must be), which is why the pattern of the disease has changed so dramatically quite independently of them.


Junk Science Week: The obesity paradox

This surmise — the opposite of what you’d hear from your doctor — follows from a startling study of mortality rates among 542,000 hospital patients who suffered their first heart attacks without having had previous cardiovascular disease. The more risk factors that a patient had, the study found, the better the chance of survival.


Someone with all five risk factors that the study looked at had only a 3.6% chance of dying in hospital after an initial heart attack. The chance of dying increased to 4.2% for people with just four risk factors, to 5.3% for those with three risk factors, to 7.9% for those with two risk factors and to 10.9% for those with one risk factor.
What about patients with no risk factors at all? These were the likeliest of all to die — their likelihood of dying in hospital was 14.9%.



Researcher sues UCLA, says his firing was political


Some of Enstrom's research provoked much debate as he suggested that the negative health impacts of some pollutants had been exaggerated to impose draconian rules on industry. He also contends he is a victim of retribution for exposing wrongdoing on the state air pollution board. He previously encountered opposition to his research, funded in part by the tobacco industry, that said the health risks of secondhand cigarette smoke were not as bad as other health advocates had portrayed them.


UCLA administrators "discriminated against Dr. Enstrom based on his ideological and political affiliations and sought to purge an academic dissenter from their ranks," according to the lawsuit, which also is seeking financial damages and reinstatement.




Islamists in north Mali burn cigarettes, whip smokers


Islamists from an Al-Qaeda offshoot in northern Mali have confiscated and burned cartons of cigarettes and whipped those caught smoking as they enforce strict Islamic law, witnesses said Friday.

"Things really got lively on Friday, Islamists from MUJAO (Movement for Unity and Jihad in West Africa) took cartons of cigarettes that were on sale and set them alight," said Moussa Guindo, who works for the town council in Bourem.

A youth from the north Mali town, speaking on condition of anonymity, said: "I received 40 lashes because I was smoking and continued to smoke after I was told not to."

A civil servant in the town, also asking not to be named, said he was whipped even though he was not smoking.

"It was my friend who was smoking but they whipped both of us saying that the cigarette is Satan. Shopkeepers who still have cigarettes hide them and to smoke, you have to hide," he said.




I’m referring to the 2008 law that mandated the posting of calorie counts in the city’s chain restaurants. When researchers studied the law’s effect, they “found that people had, in fact, ordered slightly more calories than the typical customer had before the labeling law went into effect.”
In other words, Bloomberg is contributing to–or at least doing nothing productive to fight–obesity in the city. No one should pretend this is good health policy when our empirical research (not to mention common sense) tells us this isn’t.
Already, though, the union representing about 45 CBSA employees at the airport is concerned personal workplace conversations and remarks could be captured and become part of employees' official record, Jean-Pierre Fortin, national president of the Custom and Immigration Union, said Friday. He added that the union only learned of the audio-recording development this week, after reporters began making inquiries.
In the study, urine samples that contained minute amounts of any of five baby soaps — Johnson & Johnson's Head-to-Toe Baby Wash, J&J Bedtime Bath, CVS Night-Time Baby Bath, Aveeno Soothing Relief Creamy Wash and Aveeno Wash Shampoo — gave a positive result on a drug screening test  for tetrahydrocannabinol (THC), the active ingredient in marijuana.
The researchers began their investigation after nurses at a North Carolina hospital reported an increase in the number of newborns testing positive for marijuana .
The amount of soap in the urine needed to produce a positive test result was tiny, less than 0.1 milliliters, the researchers said.